Cannabismarketcap

Green Thumb Industries Stock Forecast & Price Prediction 2026-2027

Algorithmic price targets and analysis for GTBIF based on fundamentals, valuation multiples, and historical data.

$6.41+0.16%
Bullish

Price Target Summary

Bear Case
$5.13
-20.0% from current
Base Case
$13.54
+111.2% from current
Bull Case
$24.37
+280.2% from current

Technical Outlook

52-Week Range Analysis

$5.29$10.43
Current: $6.41
Support Level
$5.80
Resistance Level
$9.92
From 52W High
-38.5%
From 52W Low
+21.2%

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue Growth Projection

Year 1 Projected
$1.27B
Year 2 Projected
$1.32B
Year 3 Projected
$1.35B

Based on +4.8% YoY growth, tapered 20% per year in outer projections.

Valuation vs Peers

Current P/S
1.27x
Sector Median P/S
2.5x
Assessment
Undervalued vs sector

Cash Position

Cash on Hand
$283.6M
Total Debt
$355.0M

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.41
Market Cap$1.54B
P/S Ratio1.27x
Revenue (TTM)$1.21B
Revenue Growth (YoY)+4.8%
Gross Margin46.9%
Cash on Hand$283.6M
Total Debt$355.0M
52W High$10.43
52W Low$5.29

Signal Breakdown

Overall Signal: Bullish
  • Positive revenue growth
  • Healthy gross margins above 40%
  • Total debt exceeds cash position
  • P/S ratio below sector median suggests upside

Risk Factors

  • Cannabis remains federally illegal in the United States, creating regulatory uncertainty.
  • The cannabis sector is highly competitive with ongoing price compression in many markets.

Analyst Summary

Green Thumb Industries (GTBIF) is a multi-state cannabis operator (MSO) with growing revenue and a market capitalization of $1.54B. Based on trailing revenue of $1.21B and a P/S ratio of 1.27x, the stock appears undervalued relative to the sector median of 2.5x. Our algorithmic base-case price target of $13.54 implies upside of 111.2% from current levels. The overall signal is bullish, supported by positive fundamental indicators. Investors should weigh the 2 identified risk factors before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price target for GTBIF?+
Our algorithmic base-case price target for Green Thumb Industries (GTBIF) is $13.54, with a bear case of $5.13 and a bull case of $24.37. These targets are derived from sector-average and premium P/S multiples applied to projected revenue.
Is GTBIF a buy right now?+
Based on our algorithmic analysis, GTBIF currently carries a bullish signal. Positive revenue growth. Healthy gross margins above 40%. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own due diligence.
What is the revenue forecast for Green Thumb Industries?+
Based on the current year-over-year growth rate of +4.8%, we project GTBIF revenue at $1.27B in Year 1, $1.32B in Year 2, and $1.35B in Year 3. Growth rates are tapered in outer years.
What are the risks of investing in GTBIF?+
Cannabis remains federally illegal in the United States, creating regulatory uncertainty. The cannabis sector is highly competitive with ongoing price compression in many markets.
How does GTBIF valuation compare to the cannabis sector?+
GTBIF has a trailing P/S ratio of 1.27x compared to the cannabis sector median of 2.5x. The stock undervalued vs sector.

Important Disclaimer

This is not financial advice. Forecasts are algorithmic projections based on historical data and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Cannabis stocks carry significant risk including regulatory, market, and operational risks. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Cannabismarketcap does not recommend buying, selling, or holding any security.

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