Cannabismarketcap

Scotts Miracle-Gro Stock Forecast & Price Prediction 2026-2027

Algorithmic price targets and analysis for SMG based on fundamentals, valuation multiples, and historical data.

$59.66+0.51%
Bullish

Price Target Summary

Bear Case
$47.73
-20.0% from current
Base Case
$156.45
+162.2% from current
Bull Case
$281.62
+372.0% from current

Technical Outlook

52-Week Range Analysis

$47.90$75.34
Current: $59.66
Support Level
$50.64
Resistance Level
$72.60
From 52W High
-20.8%
From 52W Low
+24.6%

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue Growth Projection

Year 1 Projected
$3.64B
Year 2 Projected
$3.78B
Year 3 Projected
$3.88B

Based on +4.6% YoY growth, tapered 20% per year in outer projections.

Valuation vs Peers

Current P/S
0.99x
Sector Median P/S
2.5x
Assessment
Undervalued vs sector

Cash Position

Cash on Hand
$27.7M
Total Debt
$2.13B

Key Metrics

Current Price$59.66
Market Cap$3.46B
P/S Ratio0.99x
Revenue (TTM)$3.48B
Revenue Growth (YoY)+4.6%
Gross Margin31.8%
Cash on Hand$27.7M
Total Debt$2.13B
52W High$75.34
52W Low$47.90

Signal Breakdown

Overall Signal: Bullish
  • Positive revenue growth
  • Healthy gross margins above 40%
  • Total debt exceeds cash position
  • P/S ratio below sector median suggests upside

Risk Factors

  • High debt-to-cash ratio: total debt of $2.13B significantly exceeds cash of $27.7M.

Analyst Summary

Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) is an ancillary cannabis company with growing revenue and a market capitalization of $3.46B. Based on trailing revenue of $3.48B and a P/S ratio of 0.99x, the stock appears undervalued relative to the sector median of 2.5x. Our algorithmic base-case price target of $156.45 implies upside of 162.2% from current levels. The overall signal is bullish, supported by positive fundamental indicators. Investors should weigh the 1 identified risk factor before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price target for SMG?+
Our algorithmic base-case price target for Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) is $156.45, with a bear case of $47.73 and a bull case of $281.62. These targets are derived from sector-average and premium P/S multiples applied to projected revenue.
Is SMG a buy right now?+
Based on our algorithmic analysis, SMG currently carries a bullish signal. Positive revenue growth. Healthy gross margins above 40%. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own due diligence.
What is the revenue forecast for Scotts Miracle-Gro?+
Based on the current year-over-year growth rate of +4.6%, we project SMG revenue at $3.64B in Year 1, $3.78B in Year 2, and $3.88B in Year 3. Growth rates are tapered in outer years.
What are the risks of investing in SMG?+
High debt-to-cash ratio: total debt of $2.13B significantly exceeds cash of $27.7M.
How does SMG valuation compare to the cannabis sector?+
SMG has a trailing P/S ratio of 0.99x compared to the cannabis sector median of 2.5x. The stock undervalued vs sector.

Important Disclaimer

This is not financial advice. Forecasts are algorithmic projections based on historical data and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Cannabis stocks carry significant risk including regulatory, market, and operational risks. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Cannabismarketcap does not recommend buying, selling, or holding any security.

← Back to SMG OverviewAll Cannabis Stocks